Market
What will be the international response to Russia's nuclear rhetoric by mid-2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military build-up by NATO • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official statements from governments or international organizations
Story
Russia's Sergey Ryabkov Warns Western Actions May Lead to Nuclear Weapons Use; Putin's Oreshnik Missile Range Up to 5,500 km
Dec 19, 2024, 10:04 AM
Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov has warned that actions by Western countries could create risks that may lead to discussions about the potential use of nuclear weapons by Moscow. He stated that the increasingly reckless behavior of the U.S. and NATO could result in serious, if not catastrophic, consequences for international security. Ryabkov emphasized that the threats posed by Western nations near Russia's borders could push Moscow to consider the use of nuclear arms. This rhetoric aligns with President Vladimir Putin's recent comments regarding Russia's new missile system, the Oreshnik, which he claims cannot be intercepted by existing missile defense systems. Putin asserted that if Russia's sovereignty is threatened, the country reserves the right to deploy nuclear weapons, particularly against non-nuclear states that pose a threat. He also noted that the Oreshnik has a range of up to 5,500 kilometers, making it a significant addition to Russia's military capabilities.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Military Action • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Conduct a nuclear test • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increase nuclear arsenal • 25%
Engage in diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military response • 25%
De-escalation Achieved • 25%
Resolution through Conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Conduct a nuclear test • 25%
Engage in diplomatic talks • 25%
Increase military readiness • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant change in response • 25%
Military support to Ukraine increased • 25%
Diplomatic resolutions pursued • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
US increases military presence in Asia • 25%
New international treaty discussions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%