Market
What will be the international reaction to potential U.S. military intervention in Mexico by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Reports from international organizations and major news outlets
Story
Trump Considers Deploying U.S. Special Forces to Mexico to Combat Cartels Designated as Terrorist Organizations
Jan 21, 2025, 01:00 AM
President Donald Trump has indicated that he might deploy U.S. Special Forces into Mexico to combat drug cartels, following his executive order declaring these groups as foreign terrorist organizations. When questioned about the possibility of such military action, Trump responded, 'Could happen. Stranger things have happened.' This statement was made in the context of a national emergency at the southern U.S. border, which he also addressed through an executive order.
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Similar markets
Condemnation • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation from multiple countries • 25%
Support from multiple countries • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Other reaction • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Temporary strain • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Other • 25%
Official Protest • 25%
Diplomatic Engagement • 25%
No Formal Response • 25%
Strained Relations • 25%
Unchanged Relations • 25%
Strengthened Relations • 25%
Severed Relations • 25%
Humanitarian Crisis • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Illegal Immigration • 25%
Drug Cartels • 25%
Mostly opposed • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Other • 25%
Mostly supportive • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Formal condemnation • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support for U.S. actions • 25%