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What will be the impact on US-Israel relations following the lifting of the bomb supply freeze by January 2026?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Weakened • 25%
Unclear • 25%
Analyses from think tanks or major news outlets reporting on US-Israel relations
Story
President Trump Lifts Freeze on 2,000-Pound Bomb Supplies to Israel
Jan 20, 2025, 10:36 PM
President Donald Trump has lifted the Biden administration's freeze on the supply of 2,000-pound bombs to Israel, as confirmed by the White House website.
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Other impact • 25%
Relations significantly improve • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic fallout • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other impacts • 25%
Improved relations with Ukraine • 25%
Strained relations with Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Freeze lifted and arms delivered • 25%
Freeze lifted but arms not delivered • 25%
Freeze remains in place • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Weakened • 25%
Somewhat strengthened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Strengthened significantly • 25%
Sale canceled • 25%
Sale completed as planned • 25%
Sale delayed • 25%
Sale modified • 25%