Market
What will be the impact of Trump's deportation policy on California agriculture by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant labor shortages • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Reports from California agricultural associations or major news outlets
Story
Trump Promises Largest Deportation Operation Targeting 11 Million Undocumented Immigrants as He Prepares for Inauguration on January 20, 2025
Dec 26, 2024, 05:52 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has outlined plans for mass deportations as part of his immigration policy, promising the largest deportation operation in U.S. history. With his inauguration set for January 20, 2025, Trump aims to implement these measures immediately. His strategy is expected to target the estimated 11 million undocumented immigrants living in the country, many of whom have resided in the U.S. for over a decade. This initiative raises concerns among California farmers, who rely heavily on immigrant labor and fear that such policies could significantly impact their workforce and financial stability. Trump's commitment to border security and law enforcement has been a cornerstone of his campaign, and he has indicated that deportations will be a top priority upon taking office.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant change • 25%
Increase in undocumented immigrants • 25%
Moderate decrease in undocumented immigrants • 25%
Significant decrease in undocumented immigrants • 25%
Counteracted by legislation • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Implemented fully • 25%
Blocked by legal challenges • 25%
Policy fully implemented • 25%
Policy blocked by courts • 25%
Policy partially implemented • 25%
Policy not implemented • 25%
Decrease in deportations • 25%
Moderate increase in deportations • 25%
Significant increase in deportations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Halted by legal challenges • 25%
Implemented fully • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Halted by legal challenges • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
Severe negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Neutral impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Blocked by legal action • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Support and cooperation • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
Sanctuary policies • 25%
Widespread protests • 25%
Increased sanctuary cities • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%