Market
What will be the funding decision for NGAD program by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Funding increase • 25%
Funding decrease • 25%
Funding remains the same • 25%
Program cancellation • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Air Force or the Department of Defense
Story
Air Force Defers Future Crewed NGAD Fighter Decision to Trump Administration
Dec 5, 2024, 07:43 PM
The U.S. Air Force has announced that the decision on the Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) fighter program will be deferred to the incoming Trump administration. While the Air Force will continue to mature the technology for the potential sixth-generation fighter, the final decision on the program's future, including whether to proceed with a manned fighter jet, will rest with the new administration. This decision has significant implications for the defense aerospace industry and the future of air superiority strategies. The NGAD program, which includes the future crewed fighter, is part of the Air Force's broader efforts to maintain air superiority through advanced technologies.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Manned Fighters • 25%
Unmanned Drones • 25%
Hybrid Systems • 25%
Boeing • 25%
Other • 25%
Northrop Grumman • 25%
Lockheed Martin • 25%
AI Integration • 25%
Stealth Technology • 25%
Other • 25%
Hypersonic Capabilities • 25%
Other • 25%
Continue as is • 25%
Major overhaul • 25%
Phase out • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Signed into law without ban • 25%
Other • 25%
Signed into law with ban • 25%
Vetoed • 25%
