Market
What will be the final outcome of Truong My Lan's case by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Execution • 25%
Commuted to life imprisonment • 25%
Commuted to lesser sentence • 25%
Pardoned • 25%
Vietnamese government or court announcements
Story
Vietnamese tycoon must repay $9bn or face execution after losing fraud appeal
Dec 3, 2024, 12:07 PM
Vietnamese property tycoon Truong My Lan, 68, has lost her appeal against the death sentence for masterminding the country's largest-ever fraud scandal, involving embezzlement and bribery charges. Convicted of embezzling $12 billion—about 3% of Vietnam's GDP—she also orchestrated a $1.2 billion bond fraud that affected thousands of investors. The Supreme People's Court of Ho Chi Minh City upheld the death sentence but stated that her life could be spared if she repays 75% of the embezzled assets, amounting to $9 billion.
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Similar markets
Repays $9 billion and sentence commuted to life • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Fails to repay and remains on death row • 25%
Receives presidential pardon or clemency • 25%
Sentence commuted by other means • 25%
Life imprisonment after repayment • 25%
Executed • 25%
Pardoned • 25%
Commuted to life imprisonment • 33%
Execution • 33%
Pardon granted • 34%
Widespread public protests • 25%
Moderate public dissatisfaction • 25%
General public acceptance • 25%
Other public response • 25%
Commuted to life imprisonment • 25%
Execution • 25%
Released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Convicted on all charges • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Acquitted on all charges • 25%
Convicted on some charges • 25%