Market
What will be the determined motive for the Wisconsin school shooting by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Bullying-related • 25%
Mental health issues • 25%
Personal dispute • 25%
Other • 25%
Official police reports or statements from the investigation team
Story
15-Year-Old Natalie Rupnow Shoots Teacher and Student at Wisconsin Christian School, Two Dead, Six Injured
Dec 17, 2024, 05:23 AM
A tragic shooting occurred at the Abundant Life Christian School in Madison, Wisconsin, on Monday, resulting in the deaths of a teacher and a 15-year-old student. The shooter, identified as Natalie 'Samantha' Rupnow, also 15, reportedly died from a self-inflicted gunshot wound. The incident left six others injured. Police confirmed that the shooting took place in a study hall, and it has drawn significant attention from law enforcement and political leaders, prompting discussions on school safety and gun control. The shooting happened just before the Christmas break, intensifying the emotional impact on the community.
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Mental health issues • 25%
Domestic or personal disputes • 25%
Other • 25%
Bullying or social issues • 25%
Bullying • 25%
Personal conflict • 25%
Other/Unknown • 25%
Mental health issues • 25%
Bullying • 25%
Other • 25%
Influence from external parties • 25%
Mental health issues • 25%
Online Radicalization • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Personal Grievance • 25%
Mental Health Issues • 25%
Increased School Security • 25%
Gun Control Legislation • 25%
Mental Health Initiatives • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Other • 25%
Retaliation against U.S. involvement in Middle East • 25%
Hate crime due to religious affiliation • 25%
Determined as spontaneous • 25%
Determined as premeditated • 25%
Other • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Racism • 25%
Mental Health Issues • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal Dispute • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No conclusive findings • 25%
Multiple accomplices identified • 25%
Single perpetrator acted alone • 25%
Increased School Security • 25%
Mental Health Initiatives • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
New Gun Control Policies • 25%