Market
What will be the composition of Trump's cabinet by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Mostly new faces • 25%
Mostly previous administration members • 25%
Balanced mix • 25%
Other compositions • 25%
Official announcements from the White House and confirmations by the Senate
Story
Electoral College Formalizes Trump's 2024 Victory with 312 Votes
Dec 17, 2024, 01:58 PM
On December 17, 2024, the Electoral College convened across the United States to formalize Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election over Vice President Kamala Harris. Trump secured 312 electoral votes, surpassing the required 270, while Harris received 226. The electors met in their respective state capitols to cast their votes, a ceremonial step following the general election. Trump also won the national popular vote, garnering 77.2 million votes compared to Harris's 75 million. The Electoral College process, governed by the 12th Amendment, involves electors chosen by political parties casting separate ballots for president and vice president. The results will be certified and sent to the Senate, with the final count to be overseen by Vice President Harris on January 6, 2025, leading to Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025.
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Predominantly business leaders • 25%
Predominantly academics • 25%
Even mix of backgrounds • 25%
Predominantly political figures • 25%
Loyalists to Trump • 25%
Others • 25%
Mixture of both • 25%
Moderate Republicans • 25%
Secretary of Defense • 25%
Secretary of Treasury • 25%
Attorney General • 25%
Secretary of State • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Other • 25%
John Bolton • 25%
Mike Pompeo • 25%
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John Bolton • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Mike Pompeo • 25%
Other • 25%
Steven Mnuchin • 25%
Other • 25%
Judy Shelton • 25%
Gary Cohn • 25%
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Supportive • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%