Market
What will be the Biden administration's decision on Gen. Milley's pardon by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Pardon issued • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Decision pending • 25%
Other legal resolution • 25%
Official announcements from the White House or related legal actions
Story
Biden Administration Weighs Pre-emptive Pardon for Retired Gen. Mark Milley Over China Communications Amid Trump Transition
Dec 6, 2024, 03:03 PM
The Biden administration is reportedly considering a pre-emptive pardon for retired General Mark Milley. This potential action is being discussed amid concerns that President-elect Donald Trump’s administration may pursue charges against Milley related to his controversial communications with China. Reports indicate that President Biden has directly addressed the issue with his staff, signaling the seriousness of the consideration. Milley, who served as the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has faced scrutiny for his actions during his tenure, particularly regarding his interactions with foreign officials.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Pardons issued • 33%
No action taken • 33%
Alternative legal protections pursued • 34%
Formal reprimand • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Legal charges filed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Democratic leaders • 25%
Republican leaders • 25%
Independent leaders • 25%
No significant support • 25%
Mark Milley • 25%
Adam Schiff • 25%
Hillary Clinton • 25%
None • 25%
Pardon Issued • 33%
No Pardon Issued • 33%
Undecided by Deadline • 34%
Pardon both Fauci and Cheney • 25%
Pardon neither • 25%
Pardon Fauci only • 25%
Pardon Cheney only • 25%
Unclear legality • 25%
Legal but controversial • 25%
Legal and justified • 25%
Illegal • 25%
