Market
What will be Russia's response to North Korean soldiers' involvement by April 30, 2025?
2
North Korean•Russian•Ukraine•South Korean•Seoul•National Intelligence Service•NIS•Kursk•Russia•Pyongyang•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Kyiv
Resolution / Starting Odds
Deny involvement • 25%
Acknowledge but downplay • 25%
Acknowledge and justify • 25%
No official response • 25%
Official statements from Russian government or verified international news agencies
Story
Seoul Says 300 North Korean Soldiers Killed Fighting in Ukraine, Ordered to Kill Selves if Captured
Jan 13, 2025, 07:41 AM
Approximately 300 North Korean soldiers have been killed and 2,700 wounded while fighting alongside Russian forces in Ukraine, according to a South Korean lawmaker citing information from Seoul's National Intelligence Service (NIS). The casualties occurred during combat operations in the Kursk region of western Russia. South Korean intelligence reports that North Korean soldiers have been instructed by Pyongyang to kill themselves rather than be captured alive, with some attempting self-detonation to avoid capture. Over the weekend, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Kyiv had captured two North Korean soldiers, releasing video footage of the injured combatants. A diary recovered from a deceased North Korean soldier reveals grisly battlefield tactics, including being used as human bait against Ukrainian drones. The high number of casualties is attributed to the troops' lack of understanding of modern warfare and ineffective tactics.
View original story
Similar markets
Condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Limited or no official response • 25%
Diplomatic talks and negotiations • 25%
Strong condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Sanctions against North Korea • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Sanctions against North Korea • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Continued engagement with no change • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Increased deployment • 25%
Unknown outcome • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Other actions • 25%
UN sanctions on North Korea • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure on North Korea • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
