Market
What will be Iran's response to Israel's actions against the Houthis by May 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Increased support for Houthis • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from the Iranian government, reports from international news agencies, or observable military or diplomatic actions
Story
Israel's Defense Minister Acknowledges July 31 Assassination of Hamas Leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, Threatens Houthis
Dec 24, 2024, 04:39 AM
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz publicly acknowledged for the first time that Israel was responsible for the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran on July 31. During a recent address, Katz stated, "We will severely cripple the Houthis, damage their strategic infrastructure and decapitate their leaders"—a threat directed at the Iran-backed Houthi group in Yemen. Katz's comments, made during a ceremony honoring local security officers, follow a series of missile attacks by the Houthis that have targeted Israel. This admission heightens tensions between Israel and Iran, particularly in the context of ongoing conflicts in Gaza and Lebanon. Katz's remarks suggest a commitment to taking military action against Houthi leadership, similar to actions taken against Haniyeh and other leaders in the region.
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No significant response • 25%
Direct military action • 25%
Increased support to Houthis • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military readiness • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Strike on Houthis • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Direct strike on Iran • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
General support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Retaliatory Threats • 25%
Other Diplomatic Actions • 25%
No Response • 25%
Call for Peace Talks • 25%
Minimal international response • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread support for Israel • 25%
Military support to Houthis • 25%
No response • 25%
Diplomatic actions at UN • 25%
Condemnation only • 25%
Increase alliances with Iran • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased missile attacks • 25%
Retreat from conflict • 25%