Market
What will be Chrystia Freeland's public approval rating by April 30, 2025, if elected as leader?
2
Chrystia Freeland•Canadian•Liberal Party of Canada•Canada•Justin Trudeau•Freeland•Trudeau•Bank of Canada•Mark Carney•World Economic Forum•WEF•Donald Trump•Liberal Party•Liberals
Resolution / Starting Odds
Above 50% • 25%
40-50% • 25%
30-40% • 25%
Below 30% • 25%
Polling data from reputable sources such as Ipsos or Angus Reid
Story
Former Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland Enters Race to Replace Trudeau, Campaign Launch on Sunday
Jan 17, 2025, 01:44 PM
Chrystia Freeland, former Canadian finance minister and deputy prime minister, has announced her candidacy for the leadership of the Liberal Party of Canada, stating, 'I’m running to fight for Canada.' Her announcement follows her resignation from the cabinet in December, which played a role in ending Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's political career. Freeland's campaign will officially launch on Sunday, positioning her as a key contender in the race to replace Trudeau. The leadership contest includes other notable figures such as former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney, who, like Freeland, has served on the World Economic Forum (WEF) board. Freeland's resignation was prompted by disagreements with Trudeau over financial policies, particularly in response to potential U.S. tariffs under President-elect Donald Trump. The Liberal Party will elect its new leader on March 9, amidst a challenging political landscape with the Liberals trailing in polls.
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Similar markets
Appointed to new cabinet position • 25%
Other • 25%
Wins University–Rosedale seat • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Other • 25%
Advocate/NGO role • 25%
Leader of a political party • 25%
Return to private sector • 25%
Justin Trudeau • 25%
Pierre Poilievre • 25%
Jagmeet Singh • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Does not run • 25%
Other political role • 25%
Runs as Liberal candidate • 25%
Runs as independent • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
40% to 49% • 25%
Above 60% • 25%
50% to 60% • 25%
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No significant data • 25%
Unchanged approval • 25%
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Increased approval • 25%
Mark Carney • 25%
Chrystia Freeland • 25%
Other • 25%
Pierre Poilievre • 25%