Market
What type of sentence will Luigi Mangione receive if convicted by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Death penalty • 25%
Life imprisonment without parole • 25%
Life imprisonment with parole • 25%
Other sentence • 25%
Official court sentencing announcements
Story
Luigi Mangione Extradited to New York, Faces Federal Charges in CEO Brian Thompson's Killing
Dec 19, 2024, 03:40 PM
Luigi Mangione, 26, has been indicted in New York on charges of first-degree murder and murder as an act of terrorism in the shooting death of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson on December 4 in Midtown Manhattan. After being arrested in Pennsylvania following five days on the run, Mangione appeared in a Pennsylvania court on Thursday, where he waived extradition to New York. He was transported to New York by plane and helicopter and could be arraigned as soon as Thursday. Federal prosecutors have filed additional charges against Mangione, including murder, stalking, and weapons charges, increasing the potential punishment and making him eligible for the death penalty.
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Other • 25%
Life imprisonment • 25%
Death penalty • 25%
Fixed-term imprisonment • 25%
Fixed-term imprisonment • 25%
Life without parole • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Life with parole possibility • 25%
Other sentencing outcome • 25%
Life imprisonment without parole • 25%
Fixed-term imprisonment • 25%
Life imprisonment with possibility of parole • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Death penalty • 25%
Fixed-term imprisonment • 25%
Life imprisonment • 25%
Not convicted • 25%
Firearms offense • 25%
Terrorism-related charges • 25%
First-degree murder • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Weapons possession • 25%
Forgery • 25%
Not convicted • 25%
Murder • 25%