Market
What response will India take regarding the rocket crash in Kenya by end of 2025?
2
Mukuku•Makueni County•Kenya•Kenya Space Agency•KSA•India•India Space Research Organisation•Docking Experiment•Spadex•Makueni
Resolution / Starting Odds
Compensation agreed • 25%
Formal apology issued • 25%
Denial of responsibility • 25%
No official response • 25%
Official statements from the Indian government or ISRO, or reputable news outlets
Story
Kenya Investigates 500-Kilogram Rocket Separation Ring Crash in Mukuku Village, Seeks Compensation from India
Jan 2, 2025, 02:59 PM
A metallic object, identified as a separation ring from a rocket, crashed into Mukuku village in Makueni County, Kenya, on December 30 around 3 p.m. The Kenya Space Agency (KSA) confirmed that the object, weighing approximately 1,100 pounds and measuring about 8 feet in diameter, was retrieved and is under investigation. The KSA stated that the debris poses no immediate threat to public safety and is working to identify its origin. Kenya has notified India of a compensation demand, alleging the debris came from the India Space Research Organisation's Docking Experiment, Spadex, which endangered lives and property in Makueni.
View original story
Similar markets
No action • 25%
Issue diplomatic complaint • 25%
Enhance space monitoring • 25%
Seek compensation • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Launch Error • 25%
Design Flaw • 25%
Orbital Decay • 25%
Other • 25%
Accidental re-entry • 25%
Intentional disposal • 25%
Unidentified origin • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Apology to Bangladesh • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No official response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No official response • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%