Market
What percentage of species will be critically endangered by 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 30% • 25%
30-50% • 25%
50-70% • 25%
More than 70% • 25%
International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List or equivalent biodiversity reports
Story
EU Scientists Confirm 2024 as Hottest Year, Warn of Species Extinction
Dec 9, 2024, 08:07 AM
European Union scientists have confirmed that 2024 is effectively certain to be the hottest year on record, surpassing the previous record set in 2023. According to the Copernicus Climate Change Service, global average temperatures for 2024 are expected to exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels for the first time, crossing the critical threshold established by the Paris Agreement. November was the second-warmest on record, further indicating an upward trend in global temperatures. Scientists attribute this unprecedented warming to factors such as decreased cloud cover over the past two years, allowing more sunlight to reach and heat the Earth's surface. Additionally, scientists warn that habitat destruction and industrial emissions have triggered feedback mechanisms that could lead to the rapid extinction of 30-70% of Earth's species in the 21st century. The extraordinary high temperatures are expected to persist into at least the first few months of 2025.
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Amphibians • 25%
Birds • 25%
Mammals • 25%
Reptiles • 25%
No significant increase • 25%
10% increase • 25%
20% increase • 25%
30% increase • 25%
Transferred to another zoo • 25%
Remains at Oakland Zoo • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Released to the wild • 25%
Listed as Endangered • 33%
Listed as Threatened • 33%
Not Listed • 34%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Reclassification as non-endangered • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Continued recognition as endangered • 25%
Polar Bears • 25%
Other • 25%
Amphibians • 25%
Coral Reefs • 25%
No legislative impact • 25%
New legislation introduced • 25%
Amendments to existing laws • 25%
Other • 25%