Market
What actions will Russia take in response to U.S. and Hong Kong measures by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Russian government or credible news sources
Story
U.S. Treasury Warns Hong Kong Banks Against Transactions with Russia Amid Sanctions on 9 Individuals and 7 Entities
Dec 26, 2024, 01:33 AM
A senior U.S. Treasury official recently met with representatives from major banks in Hong Kong, warning them against any financial transactions with Russia, which is perceived as a final ultimatum from the U.S. to Hong Kong. This warning follows the U.S. Treasury's recent sanctions imposed on nine individuals and seven entities, including North Korean banks and Russian companies that facilitated the shipment of oil and gas to North Korea from 2022 to at least April 2024. In a related development, South Korea has imposed sanctions on 15 North Korean IT workers and one entity for illicit funding related to nuclear and missile development activities.
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Other actions • 25%
Impose sanctions on U.S. • 25%
File WTO complaint • 25%
Diplomatic protest only • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Support U.S. sanctions • 25%
Condemn U.S. sanctions • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Military Strike • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Cyber retaliation • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Economic sanctions on Japan • 25%
Increased ground military operations • 25%
Cyber attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
Diplomatic or economic sanctions • 25%
Missile strikes on Ukrainian cities • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military Sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic Sanctions • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Both expulsion and sanctions • 25%
Imposition of new sanctions • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Expulsion of Russian ambassador • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%