Market
What actions will DEM take after visiting Ocalan by Mar 31, 2025?
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Turkey•DEM•Abdullah Ocalan•PKK•Imrali•Devlet Bahceli•Nationalist Movement Party•MHP•Ocalan•Sırrı Süreyya Önder•Pervin Buldan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Initiate peace dialogue • 25%
Increase protests • 25%
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Other actions • 25%
DEM party announcements or news reports
Story
Turkey Allows DEM Party to Visit PKK Leader Ocalan for First Time in Decade
Dec 27, 2024, 04:56 PM
Turkey has granted permission for a delegation from the pro-Kurdish Peoples' Equality and Democracy Party (DEM) to visit Abdullah Ocalan, the imprisoned leader of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), at his prison on Imrali island. This marks the first such visit in nearly a decade and follows a call from Devlet Bahceli, leader of the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), for direct contact between the DEM and Ocalan to address the ongoing conflict. The visit is scheduled to take place on either Saturday or Sunday, depending on weather conditions. The DEM delegation will include MPs Sırrı Süreyya Önder and Pervin Buldan. Ocalan has been serving a life sentence since his capture 25 years ago.
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Similar markets
Negotiation process initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Positive reconciliation steps announced • 25%
End of insurgency announced • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Visit completed without public statement • 25%
Visit cancelled • 25%
Visit completed with public statement • 25%
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Proposal for policy changes • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other response • 25%
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No significant progress • 25%
Formal peace talks initiated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Öcalan gains political influence • 25%
Öcalan's influence remains the same • 25%
Öcalan's influence decreases • 25%