Market
U.S. attributes cyberattack on Kash Patel to Iran by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official U.S. government or intelligence agency report
Story
Iranian Hackers Access Communications of Trump's FBI Nominee Kash Patel
Dec 4, 2024, 02:06 AM
Kash Patel, President-elect Donald Trump's nominee to lead the FBI, has been targeted in an Iranian cyberattack, according to sources familiar with the matter. The FBI has informed Patel that Iranian hackers accessed at least some of his communications. The attack is part of a broader wave of cyberattacks targeting members of Trump's team, with Patel being a prominent figure in this incident.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
FBI • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
NSA • 25%
CIA • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Cyber retaliation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Security measures to prevent future attacks • 25%
Diplomatic response to Iran • 25%
No public statement made • 25%
Details of the cyberattack • 25%
Other • 25%
Internal US security failures • 25%
Iranian hacker groups • 25%
Iranian government • 25%
Another state actor responsible • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Iran confirmed responsible • 25%
Non-state actor responsible • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Military actions taken • 25%
Diplomatic actions taken • 25%
No action taken • 25%