Market
Ukraine's primary response to spyware incident by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Legal action • 25%
Increased cybersecurity measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Ukrainian government
Story
FSB Accused of Planting Monokle-Like Spyware on Russian Programmer's Android Phone in Ukraine
Dec 5, 2024, 11:16 AM
The Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) has been accused of planting advanced spyware on the Android phone of a Russian programmer, who has been living in Ukraine for years, according to a joint investigation by Citizen Lab and the Russian legal rights group Perviy Otdel. The programmer was detained by FSB agents, questioned, and his phone was confiscated. Upon its return, the device was found to have been infected with a Monokle-like spyware, which can track the device's location, record phone calls, keystrokes, and more. This incident marks the first known case of the FSB using such sophisticated surveillance tools against an anti-war activist.
View original story
Similar markets
Strengthening air defenses • 25%
Increased military counterattacks • 25%
Seeking more international sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic efforts for peace • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic warnings issued • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
International military support • 25%
Improved air defense systems • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Cyber defense measures • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military operations • 25%
Request for international sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic initiatives • 25%
Admission of involvement • 25%
No official comment • 25%
Other diplomatic response • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Energy infrastructure • 25%
Military facilities • 25%
Civilian infrastructure • 25%
Other • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Diplomatic Condemnation • 25%
Military Support • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Military Installations • 25%
Technology Companies • 25%
Infrastructure • 25%
Government Officials • 25%