Market
UK Parliament debates Diego Garcia lease agreement by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official records and proceedings of the UK Parliament
Story
US, UK, and Mauritius Finalize 99-Year Diego Garcia Lease; Biden Supports, Chagossians to Return
Dec 7, 2024, 01:31 PM
The United States and the United Kingdom have reached an agreement with Mauritius to extend the lease of the Diego Garcia military base for 99 years. Diego Garcia, a strategically significant island in the Indian Ocean, serves as a critical base for U.S. military operations. The deal, supported by U.S. President Joe Biden, reportedly allows the native Chagossians, who were previously displaced, to return to their homeland, while ensuring that the U.S. military retains exclusive access to the base. The agreement also aligns with a UK-Mauritius sovereignty deal, underscoring the importance of Diego Garcia for U.S. naval and geopolitical strategy, amid ongoing debates about its sovereignty and the role of the U.S. in the region.
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More than 99 years • 25%
50 years • 25%
Less than 50 years • 25%
99 years • 25%
Less than 50 years • 25%
50 years • 25%
No lease agreement • 25%
99 years • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Evenly split opinion • 25%
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UK retains full control • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Mauritius gains full control • 25%
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Mauritius gains control • 25%
UK retains control • 25%
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Mauritius • 25%
UK • 25%
Shared sovereignty • 25%