Market
Tel Aviv stabbing classified as terrorist attack by February 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official classification or announcement from Israeli law enforcement or government
Story
Moroccan Attacker Shot Dead by Off-Duty Policewoman After Tel Aviv Stabbing Injures Four
Jan 21, 2025, 07:44 PM
A stabbing attack occurred at multiple locations on Nahalat Binyamin Street in central Tel Aviv on January 21, 2025, injuring four people aged 24, 28, 24, and 59, with one in serious condition, according to medical sources. The assailant, identified as 29-year-old Moroccan national Abdelaziz Kaddi, was shot dead at the scene by an off-duty female police officer. Kaddi, who held a U.S. permanent resident card, entered Israel on a tourist visa on January 18, 2025. Authorities are treating the incident as a terrorist attack and are investigating whether he had any accomplices.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Linked to a larger terrorist network • 25%
Confirmed as a lone wolf attack • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Other findings • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
Protests or demonstrations • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Condemnation from multiple countries • 25%
Minimal reaction • 25%
Calls for peace talks • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Criminal act • 25%
Terrorist attack • 25%
Diplomatic actions against Morocco • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Stricter visa policies • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
All recovered • 25%
Some recovered, some with lasting injuries • 25%
All with lasting injuries • 25%
Fatality reported • 25%