Market
State or local official charged due to DOJ directive by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official DOJ announcements or court records
Story
Trump DOJ Directs Prosecutors to Investigate Sanctuary Cities, Shifts Resources from Counterterrorism
Jan 22, 2025, 01:45 PM
The U.S. Department of Justice, under the Trump administration, has directed federal prosecutors to investigate state and local officials who obstruct enforcement of federal immigration laws, according to an internal memo obtained by the Associated Press. Deputy Attorney General Emil Bove issued the memo instructing prosecutors to "take all appropriate actions" against jurisdictions that impede immigration enforcement efforts. The directive signals a potential legal challenge against sanctuary cities and states that resist federal immigration policies. Additionally, the DOJ is reallocating resources from counterterrorism to immigration enforcement, a move that is likely to prompt strife with local and state law enforcement agencies, particularly those involved in Joint Terrorism Task Forces across the country.
View original story
Similar markets
Reprimand • 25%
Termination • 25%
No action • 25%
Suspension • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Increased resistance • 25%
Increased compliance • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased legal challenges against DOJ • 25%
Increased prosecutions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Severe Misconduct Found • 25%
Significant Misconduct Found • 25%
Minor Misconduct Found • 25%
No Misconduct Found • 25%