Market
Significant U.S. military escalation in Syria due to rebel offensive by February 28, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible news agencies or official U.S. military announcements
Story
U.S. Denies Role in Syrian Rebel Offensive Led by HTS, Monitors Situation
Dec 1, 2024, 12:39 AM
The White House has issued a statement denying any involvement in the ongoing rebel offensive in northern Syria, led by Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a designated terrorist organization. The U.S. National Security Council (NSC) emphasized that the United States has nothing to do with the attack, and is closely monitoring the situation in Syria. The NSC also mentioned that they have been in contact with regional capitals over the past 48 hours. The offensive by Syrian rebels in Aleppo caught the Biden administration by surprise, according to a U.S. official cited by Axios. The White House also urged de-escalation and stated it would defend and protect U.S. military positions in Syria.
View original story
Similar markets
Rebels make significant gains but not Damascus • 25%
Government regains lost ground • 25%
Rebels gain control of Damascus • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Sanctions on Assad • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
