Market
Russia to formally accuse U.S. of involvement in Moscow explosion by February 28, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Russian government or relevant officials
Story
U.S. Denies Involvement in Moscow Explosion Killing Russian Chemical Weapons Chief Igor Kirillov, Says Matthew Miller
Dec 17, 2024, 07:11 PM
A U.S. official has stated that the United States was 'not aware' of nor involved in the recent killing of Lt. Gen. Igor Kirillov, the chief of Russia's chemical weapons program, who died in an explosion in Moscow. Matthew Miller, a spokesperson for the U.S. State Department, reiterated this position during a press conference, asserting that the U.S. had no role in the incident, which has been claimed by Ukraine. The U.S. government has condemned Kirillov's actions in the past, referring to his 'atrocities.' The incident has raised tensions, but U.S. officials have firmly denied any involvement in the attack.
View original story
Similar markets
Internal factions • 25%
United States • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Internal Russian actors • 25%
United States • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Evidence implicating Ukraine • 25%
Evidence implicating the U.S. • 25%
Other findings • 25%
Terrorist attack • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
Foreign sabotage • 25%
Internal sabotage • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Blame on foreign governments (non-Ukraine) • 25%
No clear blame assigned • 25%
Blame on Ukraine • 25%
Blame on internal dissidents • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Terrorist attack • 25%
