Market
Regional conflict escalation due to Houthi FTO re-designation by end of 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Yemen•Iran•Houthi•Ansar Allah•Foreign Terrorist Organization•FTO•White House•Biden•Houthis•USAID•Israeli•Death to America•Death to Israel•Victory to Islam
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yemen Civil War • 25%
Israel-Houthi tensions • 25%
Saudi Arabia-Houthi conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies detailing conflict escalation
Story
Trump Re-designates Iran-backed Houthis as Foreign Terrorist Organization, Reversing Biden Policy
Jan 22, 2025, 10:44 PM
President Donald Trump has officially re-designated Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi movement, also known as Ansar Allah, as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO), effective immediately. The White House announced that this decision reverses the Biden administration's previous action to remove the group from the terrorist list. The move aligns with U.S. policy to cooperate with regional partners to eliminate the Houthis' capabilities and operations. As a result, the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) will end relationships with entities that have made payments to the Houthis. The designation comes after the group has launched attacks on U.S. Navy ships and regional targets, including Israeli cities. The group's official slogan is "Death to America, Death to Israel, Curse be upon the Jews, Victory to Islam."
View original story
Similar markets
Withdrawal of US forces • 25%
Increased US military involvement • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Not redesignated • 25%
Redesignated as FTO • 25%
Redesignation process initiated but not completed • 25%
Israel • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Red Sea • 25%
Other • 25%
Gulf of Aden • 25%
Bab al-Mandeb • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Arab League • 25%
Europe • 25%
North Africa • 25%
Middle East • 25%
Other region • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Drone attack • 25%
Ballistic missile attack • 25%
Ceasefire or reduced aggression • 25%
Increased attacks • 25%
Other responses • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Middle East • 25%
Red Sea • 25%
Gulf Region • 25%