Market
Public opinion on H.R. 28 by March 31, 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority Support • 33%
Majority Oppose • 33%
Evenly Split • 34%
Polls conducted by major polling agencies such as Gallup or Pew Research
Story
House to Vote on H.R. 28 Transgender Sports Ban Backed by Trump
Jan 14, 2025, 05:54 PM
The United States House of Representatives is set to vote on H.R. 28, the 'Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act,' a bill supported by Republican President-elect Donald Trump. The legislation aims to ban transgender girls and women from competing in school sports that align with their gender identity by withholding federal funding from schools that do not comply. Opponents of the bill, including Democratic lawmakers and over 400 organizations, argue that it could lead to invasive physical examinations of young female athletes, including girls as young as four, to verify their sex, posing risks to their privacy and safety. Critics have dubbed the bill the 'GOP Child Predator Empowerment Act,' asserting that it would empower adults to subject girls to intrusive inspections without parental presence. Proponents argue that the bill is necessary to ensure fairness and safety in women's sports.
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Similar markets
Decrease in support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Majority Support • 25%
Majority Oppose • 25%
Evenly Split • 25%
Undecided/No Opinion • 25%
Majority support • 33%
Divided opinion • 34%
Majority oppose • 33%
Fails to pass • 25%
Passes without amendments • 25%
Passes with amendments • 25%
Not voted on by deadline • 25%
Majority support • 33%
Majority oppose • 33%
Divided opinion • 34%
Fails to pass • 33%
Tied vote • 34%
Passes with majority • 33%
Fail • 25%
Amended and Passed • 25%
Not Considered • 25%
Pass • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority support • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Evenly split opinion • 25%
Majority oppose repeal • 25%
Majority support repeal • 25%
50%-60% • 25%
Above 60% • 25%
40%-49% • 25%
Below 40% • 25%