Market
Primary US government action on TikTok by May 6, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Impose tariffs on China • 25%
Implement TikTok ban • 25%
Further delay TikTok ban • 25%
Approve a deal • 25%
Official announcements from the US government
Story
Trump Delays TikTok Ban and Divestiture Law Enforcement for 75 Days, Threatens Tariffs on China
Jan 21, 2025, 01:22 AM
President Donald Trump has signed an executive order delaying the enforcement of the TikTok ban and divestiture law for 75 days. The order directs the Department of Justice to refrain from enforcing the law banning TikTok during this period and to issue letters to providers stating that there are no violations and no liability for noncompliance. This delay allows time for a potential deal to be reached. Trump indicated that if China does not approve the deal, tariffs could be imposed on China.
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Ban TikTok • 25%
Allow with restrictions • 25%
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Other resolution • 25%
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Other Outcome • 25%
Unrestricted Operation • 25%
Permanent Ban • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
Sale approved • 25%
No action taken • 25%
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White House • 25%
Department of Commerce • 25%
Congress • 25%
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Other action • 25%
Regulations imposed • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
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Conditional Operation Allowed • 25%
Ban Implemented • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No Action • 25%
Complete Ban • 25%
Partial Restrictions • 25%
Implement restrictions • 25%
No action • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Promote TikTok • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other • 25%
Allow TikTok without changes • 25%
Enforces ban • 25%
Negotiates new ownership • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Lifts ban • 25%
Require divestment • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Other action • 25%