Market
Primary U.S. deportation method by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military Aircraft • 25%
Commercial Flights • 25%
Ground Transportation • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security or major news outlets
Story
Trump Announces Troop Deployment and Mass Deportations of Illegal Aliens via Military Aircraft, Threatens Economic Price for Noncompliance
Jan 27, 2025, 11:07 PM
President Donald Trump announced a new strategy for mass deportations, stating that for the first time, troops have been deployed to the U.S. border to locate and load illegal aliens onto military aircraft for repatriation. During his remarks, Trump emphasized that this operation involves flying these individuals back to their countries of origin. He also warned that nations failing to accept their citizens would face severe economic repercussions. The announcement highlights a significant shift in the U.S. approach to immigration enforcement.
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Charter flights • 25%
Commercial flights • 25%
Military flights • 25%
Other • 25%
National Guard • 25%
Other • 25%
Local Law Enforcement • 25%
Military • 25%
Land Transportation • 25%
Other Methods • 25%
Sea Transportation • 25%
Air Flights • 25%
Guatemala • 25%
El Salvador • 25%
Mexico • 25%
Honduras • 25%
Detention facilities • 25%
Temporary housing and support • 25%
Direct deportation to home countries • 25%
Collaboration with NGOs • 25%
Commercial Flights • 25%
Chartered Buses • 25%
Other • 25%
Military Aircraft • 25%
Other • 25%
Workers • 25%
Families • 25%
Criminals • 25%
Criminals • 25%
Visa overstays • 25%
Drug cartels • 25%
Human traffickers • 25%
Commercial Airlines • 25%
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Charter Flights • 25%
Military Planes • 25%
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Occasional denials • 25%
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Resumed • 25%
