Market
Primary response from sanctuary cities to mass deportation efforts by March 2025?
2
Trump•Chicago•Donald Trump•Wall Street Journal•Immigration and Customs Enforcement•ICE•New York•Brandon Johnson
Resolution / Starting Odds
Legal action against federal government • 25%
Increased local law enforcement cooperation • 25%
Public protests and demonstrations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official statements from city governments, ICE, and major news outlets
Story
Trump to Begin Mass Deportation with Chicago Raids Tuesday; Mayor Johnson Vows Opposition
Jan 18, 2025, 01:16 AM
The incoming Trump administration is planning to initiate a large-scale immigration raid in Chicago next week, starting on Tuesday, the day after President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration, according to reports from the Wall Street Journal citing four people familiar with the planning. The operation will involve the deployment of between 100 and 200 Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers to conduct raids in the city. This marks the first move in Trump's promised mass deportation campaign. The multi-day operation is expected to last all week, with similar actions potentially taking place in other sanctuary cities, including New York. Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson has vowed to stand in the way of the federal operation.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Increased legal resistance • 25%
Compliance with federal directives • 25%
No change in policies • 25%
Sanctuary policies strengthened • 25%
New legal actions against federal government • 25%
Sanctuary policies weakened • 25%
Cooperation with federal government • 25%
Sanctuary policies strengthened • 25%
Legal actions against policy • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
2-3 cities • 25%
More than 5 cities • 25%
Only Chicago • 25%
4-5 cities • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread opposition • 25%
Other reaction • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
No cooperation • 25%
Partial cooperation • 25%
Full cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Oppose and obstruct • 25%
Support and cooperate • 25%
New York • 25%
Miami • 25%
Los Angeles • 25%
Denver • 25%
Propose alternative measures • 25%
Support the plan • 25%
Oppose the plan • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Supportive response • 25%
Critical response • 25%
No response • 25%
Other • 25%
Los Angeles • 25%
New York • 25%
Miami • 25%