Market
Primary resolution to Transnistria's gas supply issue by March 31, 2025?
3
Russia•European•Transnistria•Russian•Moldova•Ukrainian•Moldovagaz•Vadim Krasnoselsky•Moldovan•Maia Sandu
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia continues supply • 25%
Moldova intervenes • 25%
International mediation • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Official announcements from Moldovan, Russian, or Transnistrian authorities
Story
Russia to Buy Gas from Europe for Transnistria's 11-Day Supply via Moldovagaz
Jan 20, 2025, 09:27 AM
Russia has agreed to purchase gas from the European market to supply Transnistria, a pro-Russian separatist region in Moldova, amid an ongoing energy crisis. The decision comes after the closure of the Ukrainian gas pipeline, which left Transnistria without gas supplies. The gas, expected to last only 11 days at the current rate of consumption, will be delivered through Moldovagaz, a company controlled by Russia but regulated by Moldova. Transnistria's leader, Vadim Krasnoselsky, has stated that the region is prepared to receive and pay for the gas through Moldovagaz. However, Moldovan President Maia Sandu has criticized these supplies as illegal, citing violations of international sanctions and Moldovan law, highlighting the urgency of the situation.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
New gas deal with Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased reliance on electricity • 25%
Energy aid from EU • 25%
Alternative supply secured • 25%
Debt unpaid and supply cut • 25%
Other • 25%
Debt paid and supply continues • 25%
Alternative energy sources • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
New agreement with Russia • 25%
Continued crisis • 25%
Russia via Ukraine • 25%
No significant supply secured • 25%
Alternative European sources • 25%
TurkStream via Turkey, Bulgaria, Romania • 25%
