Market
Primary Reason for Security Detail Cancellation by March 31, 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Mike Pompeo•Iran•Brian Hook•Security•John Bolton•The New York Times•Trump•Pompeo•Hook•Islamic Republic of Iran•Biden•State Department
Resolution / Starting Odds
Cost Reduction • 25%
Political Decision • 25%
Security Assessment • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Trump administration or credible news sources
Story
Trump Cancels $2 Million Security Details for Pompeo, Bolton, and Hook Despite Iran Threats
Jan 23, 2025, 03:32 PM
President Donald Trump has revoked the security protection for his former Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo; former special envoy on Iran, Brian Hook; and earlier in the week, for former National Security Advisor John Bolton, despite ongoing threats against them from Iran due to actions taken during his previous administration. The New York Times reported that Trump pulled the security detail guarding Pompeo and Hook, who have faced direct and serious threats from the Islamic Republic of Iran. The Biden administration had previously warned that all three men faced ongoing threats from Iran. The security protection for Pompeo and Hook had been costing the State Department over $2 million per month for 24-hour security.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Andrew McCabe • 25%
Other • 25%
James Comey • 25%
Peter Strzok • 25%
Steve Mnuchin • 25%
Mark Meadows • 25%
Jared Kushner • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased threat from Iran • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Legal requirements • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Technological upgrades • 25%
General security threats • 25%
Incidents involving firearms or ammunition • 25%
Anthony Fauci • 33%
John Bolton • 33%
Mike Pompeo • 33%
None • 1%
Political reasons • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Cost-saving measures • 25%
No change • 25%
New chief appointed • 25%
Interim leadership • 25%
Kim Seong-hoon remains • 25%
Cost-saving measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Political reasons • 25%
Lack of threat • 25%
