Market
Primary Focus of U.S. Intelligence Assessment on Ukraine by March 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Emboldening of China • 25%
Threat from Iran • 25%
Threat from North Korea • 25%
Impact on U.S. national security • 25%
Contents of the released U.S. intelligence assessment report
Story
U.S. House Approves 2025 NDAA with $895 Billion Budget, Cuts Ukraine Lend-Lease, Calls for Intelligence Assessment
Dec 12, 2024, 08:44 AM
The U.S. House of Representatives has approved the 2025 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), which notably excludes a provision for extending the lend-lease program for Ukraine, as confirmed by Ukrainian Ambassador Oksana Markarova. The defense budget for 2025 is set at a record $895 billion. Lawmakers are now calling for an intelligence assessment to evaluate the implications of ceasing military support for Ukraine, particularly focusing on the potential emboldening of adversarial nations such as China, Iran, and North Korea should Ukraine face defeat. The intelligence report is expected to analyze the broader consequences for U.S. national security and global stability if assistance to Ukraine is terminated.
View original story
Similar markets
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Military Support • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military support • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic Solutions • 25%
Humanitarian Assistance • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Military Aid • 25%
Military aid • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Economic aid • 25%
Diplomatic support • 25%
Technology Companies • 25%
Military Installations • 25%
Government Officials • 25%
Infrastructure • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Military aid • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic support • 25%
No significant aid • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Economic support • 25%
Military aid • 25%
Military aid • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic support • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Humanitarian support • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased diplomatic focus • 25%
Increased military focus • 25%
Balanced approach • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Air defense development • 25%
Defensive operations • 25%
Offensive operations • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%