Market
Primary focus of initial immigration enforcement phase by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Public safety threats • 25%
National security threats • 25%
Workplace enforcement • 25%
General undocumented immigration • 25%
Statements from Tom Homan or official policy documents
Story
Trump's Border Czar Plans Mass Deportations, Weekly Briefings Begin January 20
Jan 11, 2025, 08:18 PM
Tom Homan, appointed as the border czar under President-elect Donald Trump, has outlined plans to address undocumented immigration, including mass deportations, workplace enforcement raids, and reinstating the 'remain in Mexico' policy. Homan has pledged weekly White House press briefings to ensure transparency in the administration's immigration enforcement actions. However, he has privately urged Republican lawmakers to temper their expectations regarding the scale of deportations, citing limited resources and funding constraints. Homan emphasized a tiered approach targeting 1 to 2 million undocumented immigrants eligible for removal, rather than the 15 to 20 million previously mentioned by Trump. The estimated cost of deporting one million people annually is $88 billion, presenting significant financial challenges. Homan has also highlighted the need for 100,000 detention beds, additional ICE agents beyond the current 6,000, and increased funding to carry out these operations effectively. The administration plans to begin these efforts on January 20, prioritizing public safety and national security threats while addressing broader immigration issues.
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Criminals • 25%
Families • 25%
Other • 25%
Workers • 25%
No Deportations Initiated • 25%
Non-criminal Migrants • 25%
Mixed Focus • 25%
Criminal Migrants • 25%
Other • 25%
Criminals • 25%
Non-criminals • 25%
Public safety threats • 25%
Other • 25%
Visa Policy Changes • 25%
Border Security • 25%
Deportation Efforts • 25%
Criminal convictions • 25%
Recent arrivals • 25%
Family units • 25%
Other • 25%
Human traffickers • 25%
Visa overstays • 25%
Criminals • 25%
Drug cartels • 25%
Other immigration policies • 25%
Visa and entry restrictions • 25%
Border security enhancements • 25%
Deportation of undocumented immigrants • 25%
Churches • 25%
Weddings/Funerals • 25%
Schools • 25%
Hospitals • 25%
Other • 25%
Focus on internal enforcement • 25%
Enhanced border security • 25%
Increased deportations • 25%
Border security enhancements • 25%
Pathways to citizenship • 25%
Deportation policies • 25%
No significant proposals • 25%
Other • 25%
Churches • 25%
Schools • 25%
Hospitals • 25%
Recent border crossers • 25%
Long-term residents • 25%
Mixed focus • 25%
Criminal record individuals • 25%