Market
Primary focus of first major protest against Laken Riley Act?
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Laken Riley Act•Laken Riley•Venezuelan•José Ibarra•Georgia•Donald Trump•Senate•Republicans•Trump•Democrats
Resolution / Starting Odds
Impact on mixed-status families • 25%
Constitutional protections • 25%
Economic cost • 25%
Other • 25%
Credible news reports covering the protest
Story
Laken Riley Act, Mandating Detention for Theft-Related Offenses, Gains 84 Senate Votes for Trump's First Legislative Win
Jan 16, 2025, 05:44 PM
The Laken Riley Act, named after 22-year-old nursing student Laken Riley who was killed in February 2024 by Venezuelan undocumented immigrant José Ibarra in Georgia, is poised to become the first legislative victory for incoming President Donald Trump. The bill, which mandates the detention of undocumented immigrants charged with theft-related offenses, has garnered significant bipartisan support in the Senate, with 84 votes in favor and 9 against. Republicans are pushing for its passage before Trump's inauguration, while Democrats are seeking amendments to mitigate its impact on mixed-status families and to ensure due process. Critics argue that the bill, which could cost up to 83 billion dollars over 3 years, could lead to mass deportations and undermine constitutional protections, whereas supporters believe it will enhance public safety.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Civil Rights Violations • 25%
Detention of Minors • 25%
Financial Costs • 25%
Other • 25%
Indefinite detention concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
State vs. federal enforcement • 25%
Mass deportation concerns • 25%
Economic policy • 25%
Healthcare policy • 25%
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Other • 25%
Constitutional concerns • 25%
Economic concerns • 25%
Humanitarian concerns • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
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Neutral/No significant response • 25%
Broad bipartisan support • 25%
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Primarily Democratic opposition • 25%
Primarily Republican opposition • 25%
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Environmental policies • 25%
Healthcare policies • 25%
Economic policies • 25%
Economic impact • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Concerns over immigration enforcement • 25%
Civil rights issues • 25%
EU Accession • 25%
Constitutional Crisis • 25%
Economic Issues • 25%
Pro-Russian Policies • 25%
