Market
Primary factor impacting Falcon 9 Starlink 6-70 mission success on December 4, 2024
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Weather conditions • 25%
Technical issues • 25%
Launch timing • 25%
Other factors • 25%
Post-launch analysis and reports from SpaceX and industry experts
Story
SpaceX Falcon 9 to Launch 24 Starlink Satellites in Record-Breaking 24th Flight
Dec 4, 2024, 09:13 AM
SpaceX is set to launch its Falcon 9 rocket on a record-breaking 24th flight, carrying the Starlink 6-70 mission from pad 40 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station. The launch, originally planned for early morning, has been rescheduled to 5:13 am EST on December 4, 2024. The Falcon 9 booster, identified as B1067, will attempt to set a new spaceflight record by flying for the 24th time. This mission marks SpaceX's 120th Falcon 9 launch of 2024. The rocket will deploy 24 Starlink satellites into orbit, with the booster landing at sea on the Autonomous Spaceport Drone Ship (ASOG).
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3-4 • 25%
More than 6 • 25%
5-6 • 25%
2 or fewer • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant issues • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Weather-related delay • 25%
Regulatory delay • 25%
Starlink deployment • 25%
Other commercial mission • 25%
ISS resupply mission • 25%
Crewed mission • 25%
Partial success • 25%
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Launch failure • 25%
Successful launch • 25%
Minor delay • 25%
Postponed to a different day • 25%
Major delay • 25%
No impact • 25%
Satellite deployment • 25%
Space tourism • 25%
Crewed mission test • 25%
Cargo delivery • 25%
Failure to land • 25%
Successful ocean landing • 25%
Partial success with issues • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Successful launch, failed landing • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
Successful launch but mission failure • 25%
Successful launch and mission • 25%
Successful launch, failed landing • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful launch and landing • 25%