Market
Primary defense used by Sebastian Zapeta's attorneys by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Insanity defense • 25%
Intoxication defense • 25%
Self-defense • 25%
Other defense strategy • 25%
Court records and statements from defense attorneys
Story
Sebastian Zapeta Charged with First-Degree Murder After Setting Woman on Fire in NYC Subway on December 22, 2024
Dec 26, 2024, 05:24 PM
A 33-year-old Guatemalan man, Sebastian Zapeta, has been charged with first-degree murder, second-degree murder, and arson in connection with the death of a woman who was set on fire inside a Brooklyn subway train on December 22, 2024. Prosecutors allege that Zapeta fanned the flames with a shirt after igniting the fire. He reportedly told police he was intoxicated and could not remember the incident. Following his initial court appearance, he was ordered to remain in custody without bail. Mayor Eric Adams has urged federal authorities to pursue additional charges against Zapeta, who is in the U.S. illegally after being previously deported. The identity of the victim remains undisclosed, and a vigil is planned in her honor as the community seeks to remember her despite the lack of public identification. Zapeta is scheduled to appear in court again on December 29, 2024, as his attorneys prepare a potential insanity defense.
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Insanity Defense • 25%
Other • 25%
Mistaken Identity • 25%
Self-Defense • 25%
Other defense strategy • 25%
Intoxication defense • 25%
Insanity defense • 25%
Denial of charges • 25%
Mistaken Identity • 25%
Intoxication Defense • 25%
Other • 25%
Insanity Defense • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Mistrial/Other • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of homicide • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Mistrial or no trial • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Insanity defense • 25%
Self-defense • 25%
Intoxication • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Mistrial or other outcome • 25%
Mistrial or hung jury • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Mistrial or case unresolved • 25%
No action • 25%
Appeal • 25%
Clemency petition • 25%
Motion for retrial • 25%
Guilty of arson only • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Plea deal reached • 25%
Not guilty of all charges • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Acquitted of all murder charges • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of arson only • 25%
Self-defense • 25%
Other • 25%
Insanity defense • 25%
Intoxication defense • 25%