Market
Primary cause of South Korea plane crash identified by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Weather conditions • 25%
Other • 25%
Official investigation report or statement from South Korea's aviation authority
Story
South Korea Plane Crash on December 29, 2024, Kills 179 of 181 Passengers, Two Survive
Dec 29, 2024, 01:30 PM
A passenger plane crashed at a South Korean airport on December 29, 2024, after skidding off the runway and slamming into a concrete fence. The aircraft's front landing gear reportedly failed to deploy, leading to the disaster. Emergency officials have confirmed that 179 of the 181 people on board were killed, with only two survivors. This incident is being described as one of the worst aviation disasters in South Korea's history. The final death toll may still change as authorities continue their investigations.
View original story
Similar markets
Pilot error • 25%
Weather conditions • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Adverse weather conditions • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Bird strike • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Faulty landing gear • 25%
Other • 25%
Barrier at runway • 25%
Bird strike • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Other • 25%
Bird strike • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other • 25%
Bird strike • 25%
Landing gear failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other • 25%
Landing gear failure • 25%
Bird strike • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other • 25%
Bird Strike • 25%
Pilot Error • 25%
Mechanical Failure • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
Mechanical Failure • 25%
Pilot Error • 25%
Weather Conditions • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Landing gear failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Mechanical failure (other than landing gear) • 25%
Runway conditions • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other • 25%