Market
Primary cause of reduced gang violence in Haiti by end of 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Government intervention • 25%
International aid • 25%
Community initiatives • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis from international think tanks, NGOs, or major news outlets
Story
Gang Leader Allegedly Orders Massacre of 110 Elderly in Haiti over Witchcraft Claims
Dec 9, 2024, 05:57 AM
Over the weekend, at least 110 people were killed in Haiti's Cite Soleil slum in Port-au-Prince, according to the National Human Rights Defense Network. The massacre, one of the worst in years, was reportedly ordered by gang leader Monel "Mikano" Felix, who targeted elderly individuals he suspected of causing his child's illness through witchcraft. The Viv Ansanm gang, led by Felix, attacked the victims, many over 60 years old, using knives. The killings have shocked the nation, highlighting the severe gang violence and instability that have plagued Haiti and displaced over half a million people this year.
View original story
Similar markets
Violence reduced by over 75% • 25%
Violence reduced by less than 25% • 25%
Violence reduced by 25-49% • 25%
Violence reduced by 50-75% • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
Canada • 25%
United States • 25%
International military assistance requested • 25%
New anti-gang policies implemented • 25%
New Prime Minister appointed • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Moderate reduction • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase in violence • 25%
Few or no key leaders arrested/neutralized • 25%
Most key leaders arrested/neutralized • 25%
All key leaders arrested/neutralized • 25%
Some key leaders arrested/neutralized • 25%
United States • 25%
Canada • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
