Market
Primary cause of next significant disruption at Novoshakhtinsk refinery in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Drone attack • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Labor strike • 25%
Other • 25%
Official reports or news articles detailing the cause of disruption
Story
Ukrainian Drone Attack on Dec. 19 Causes Fire at Novoshakhtinsk Oil Refinery, Says Governor Vasily Slyusar
Dec 18, 2024, 11:29 PM
A Ukrainian drone attack on the Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery in Russia's Rostov region on December 19 has resulted in a significant fire at the facility. Acting Governor Vasily Slyusar confirmed the incident, noting that emergency responders are on-site, though information regarding casualties is still being clarified. The Novoshakhtinsk refinery, which had previously been targeted in June 2024, was forced to halt operations until August but had resumed normal activities before this latest attack. This strike adds to the ongoing series of drone attacks on Russian oil infrastructure, with the refinery having been hit multiple times throughout the year.
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Similar markets
Sabotage • 25%
Drone attack • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Another drone attack • 25%
No major incident • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Human error • 25%
Other • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Severe weather conditions • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Human error • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Severe weather conditions • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorist Threat • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
Drone Threat • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
