Market
Primary cause of Brazilian prison security reform by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Flordelis incident • 25%
Other high-profile incident • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Internal review • 25%
Official announcements from the Brazilian government or credible news reports
Story
Flordelis Sent to Solitary Confinement After Cell Phone Found; Hospitalized Following 50-Year Sentence
Dec 7, 2024, 05:10 PM
Flordelis, a former federal deputy and convicted murderer, has been placed in solitary confinement after authorities discovered a mobile phone in her cell at the Bangu Penitentiary in Rio de Janeiro. The discovery led to the revocation of certain privileges she previously enjoyed while incarcerated. Following the incident, Flordelis experienced health issues, including high blood pressure, headaches, and dizziness, prompting her transfer to a local healthcare facility, the UPA of the Bangu Complex. In 2019, Flordelis was arrested for the murder of her husband, Anderson do Carmo, and was sentenced to 50 years in prison in 2022. The incident has raised concerns regarding security protocols within the prison system.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Federal Government • 25%
No significant reforms • 25%
State Government • 25%
Independent Commission • 25%
Comprehensive overhaul • 25%
Other types of changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
Minor adjustments • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Crime control in favelas • 25%
Public transportation security • 25%
Other • 25%
Tourist area safety • 25%
Inmate rights legislation • 25%
Officer training reforms • 25%
No significant reforms • 25%
Facility oversight changes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Decreased reliance on military • 25%
New independent security measures • 25%
Increased cooperation with military • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Investigation ongoing by June 30, 2025 • 25%
Security breach identified • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Internal collusion suspected • 25%
