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Party to form next government if election triggered after no-confidence vote in January 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Liberal Party • 25%
Conservative Party • 25%
New Democratic Party • 25%
Other • 25%
Official election results from Elections Canada
Story
NDP's Singh to Introduce No-Confidence Motion Against Trudeau Government in Next House Sitting
Dec 20, 2024, 04:13 PM
Canada's NDP leader Jagmeet Singh announced on December 20, 2024, that his party will vote to bring down Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's Liberal government by introducing a no-confidence motion in the next sitting of the House of Commons in January. Singh stated that 'Justin Trudeau failed in the biggest job a Prime Minister has: to work for people, not the powerful.' The NDP, which has been supporting the minority Liberal government, holds the balance of power in Parliament. NDP House leader Peter Julian added, 'We simply cannot continue like this.' If all opposition parties unite in a confidence vote, the ruling Liberals will be defeated, triggering a federal election.
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New Democratic Party • 25%
Conservative Party • 25%
Other • 25%
Liberal Party • 25%
CDU/CSU and FDP • 25%
SPD and Greens • 25%
Other • 25%
SPD and CDU/CSU • 25%
Other • 25%
La République En Marche! (LREM) • 25%
Socialist Party (PS) • 25%
Les Républicains (LR) • 25%
Other party wins majority • 25%
Liberals win majority • 25%
NDP wins majority • 25%
Conservatives win majority • 25%
NDP forms coalition with Conservatives • 25%
NDP leadership change • 25%
NDP remains independent • 25%
NDP supports Liberals again • 25%
Motion withdrawn • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Motion passes, government falls • 25%
Motion fails, government remains • 25%
Alliance 90/The Greens • 25%
Other • 25%
The Left • 25%
Free Democratic Party (FDP) • 25%
Vote passes, government falls • 25%
Vote fails, government remains • 25%
Vote postponed • 25%
Vote cancelled • 25%
Other • 25%
SPD • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
Greens • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%