Market
Outcome of Trump's justice reforms by end of 2025 if elected?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Legislation passed • 25%
Executive orders issued • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Legislation passed or executive orders issued
Story
Trump Questions Biden's Pardon of Hunter, Calls for Justice for January 6th 'Hostages'
Dec 2, 2024, 02:23 AM
Former President Donald Trump has responded to President Joe Biden's decision to pardon his son, Hunter Biden, by questioning whether the pardon extends to those he refers to as 'J-6 hostages'—individuals imprisoned in connection with the January 6th Capitol riot. Trump's comments, made on Truth Social, criticized the Justice Department, calling it 'Democrat-controlled' and pledged to fix what he describes as a broken system. He labeled the imprisonment of the 'J-6 hostages' as an 'abuse and miscarriage of justice' and suggested a potential move to issue pardons for those involved in the January 6th events if he were to return to office.
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Conviction upheld • 25%
Other • 25%
Sent back for retrial • 25%
Conviction reversed • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Overturned in court • 25%
Major challenges • 25%
Minor challenges • 25%
No Significant Legal Outcome • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
State Indictment • 25%
Federal Indictment • 25%
Other • 25%
Judicial efficiency improvements • 25%
Increasing number of judges • 25%
Redistributing existing judges • 25%
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Uncertain impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Minor impact • 25%
Convictions upheld • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Partial overturn • 25%
Convictions overturned • 25%
Conviction reduced • 25%
Appeal not resolved by end of 2025 • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Suspended until 2029 • 25%
Dismissed • 25%
Upheld without changes • 25%
No jail time assurance • 25%
Clemency actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Sentencing reform • 25%
Drug policy reform • 25%
No impact on presidency • 25%
Resigns from presidency • 25%
Impeachment proceedings initiated • 25%
Other significant impact • 25%