Market
Outcome of Trump's First 100 Days on Debt Ceiling by April 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Debt Ceiling Abolished • 25%
Debt Ceiling Extended • 25%
No Change • 25%
Government Shutdown • 25%
Official legislative actions or executive orders reported by credible news sources
Story
President-elect Trump Vows to "Lead Charge" to Abolish Debt Ceiling, Threatens Shutdown
Dec 19, 2024, 02:52 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has called for abolishing the U.S. debt ceiling, stating he would "lead the charge" to eliminate it. In a phone interview with NBC News, Trump said the debt ceiling is a "fake thing" with "no real value" in controlling debt. He noted that Democrats have previously sought to remove the debt ceiling, and he supports that move "entirely." Trump warned that unless Congress eliminates or extends the debt ceiling, there could be a government shutdown, adding, "There won't be anything approved unless the debt ceiling is done with."
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U.S. defaults • 25%
Debt ceiling increased • 25%
Debt ceiling suspended • 25%
Debt ceiling unchanged • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Implements temporary measures • 25%
Successfully raises debt ceiling • 25%
Fails to raise debt ceiling • 25%
Above 50% • 25%
30-40% • 25%
Below 30% • 25%
40-50% • 25%
Government shutdown • 25%
Debt ceiling raised • 25%
Debt ceiling suspended • 25%
Default on debt • 25%
Pending • 34%
Rejected • 33%
Approved • 33%
Other legislative solution • 25%
Debt ceiling abolished • 25%
Debt ceiling extended • 25%
Debt ceiling unchanged • 25%
Debt ceiling remains with increased limit • 25%
Debt ceiling abolished • 25%
Debt ceiling remains unchanged • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Debt ceiling raised • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Government default • 25%
Debt ceiling suspended • 25%
Debt ceiling raised • 25%
Debt ceiling suspended • 25%
Extraordinary measures extended • 25%
Government shutdown • 25%
Temporary extension • 25%
Debt ceiling remains unchanged • 25%
Debt ceiling increased • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Partisan agreement with concessions • 25%
Bipartisan agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Debt ceiling abolished • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Debt ceiling unchanged • 25%
Debt ceiling raised • 25%