Market
Outcome of Trump's attempt to end sanctuary cities by December 31, 2024
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successfully ends all • 25%
Partially successful • 25%
No success • 25%
Legal challenges prevent action • 25%
Official government records or announcements
Story
Trump to End Sanctuary Cities, Prosecute Biden Admin for Human Trafficking
Dec 1, 2024, 11:01 PM
President Donald Trump has announced plans to immediately end all sanctuary cities by invoking the Alien Enemies Act of 1798. This move aims to address national security concerns related to illegal immigration. Additionally, Trump has pledged to prosecute the Biden administration for alleged involvement in human trafficking and sex slavery, targeting NGOs and the United Nations. These actions are part of a broader strategy to dismantle migrant criminal networks operating within the United States.
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Federal government wins • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sanctuary laws upheld • 25%
Settled out of court • 25%
Reversal of sanctuary policies • 25%
Increase in sanctuary cities • 25%
Decrease in sanctuary cities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Blocked by Courts • 25%
Policy Withdrawn • 25%
Blocked by Congress • 25%
Policy Implemented • 25%
Other • 25%
Compliance with federal directives • 25%
Increased legal resistance • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
City Council maintains status • 25%
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Executive order issued • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Pending challenge • 25%
No legal challenge • 25%
Unsuccessful challenge • 25%
Successful challenge • 25%
Full cooperation established • 25%
Discussions ongoing without resolution • 25%
No cooperation established • 25%
Partial cooperation established • 25%
Plan blocked • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Plan modified • 25%
Plan upheld • 25%
Policy change blocked by courts • 25%
Policy change not pursued • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Policy change implemented • 25%