Market
Outcome of the House vote on H.R. 28 by January 31, 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Passed • 50%
Rejected • 50%
Official vote results published by the United States House of Representatives
Story
House to Vote on H.R. 28 Transgender Sports Ban Backed by Trump
Jan 14, 2025, 05:54 PM
The United States House of Representatives is set to vote on H.R. 28, the 'Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act,' a bill supported by Republican President-elect Donald Trump. The legislation aims to ban transgender girls and women from competing in school sports that align with their gender identity by withholding federal funding from schools that do not comply. Opponents of the bill, including Democratic lawmakers and over 400 organizations, argue that it could lead to invasive physical examinations of young female athletes, including girls as young as four, to verify their sex, posing risks to their privacy and safety. Critics have dubbed the bill the 'GOP Child Predator Empowerment Act,' asserting that it would empower adults to subject girls to intrusive inspections without parental presence. Proponents argue that the bill is necessary to ensure fairness and safety in women's sports.
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Not voted on by deadline • 25%
Passes with amendments • 25%
Passes without amendments • 25%
Fails to pass • 25%
Passes with majority • 33%
Tied vote • 34%
Fails to pass • 33%
Pass with more than 60% approval • 25%
Not voted on by February 28, 2025 • 25%
Fail with less than 50% approval • 25%
Pass with 50-60% approval • 25%
Passes with 200-250 votes • 25%
Fails to pass • 25%
Passes with more than 250 votes • 25%
Passes with less than 200 votes • 25%
Pass with majority • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Fail to pass • 25%
Pass without amendments • 33%
Pass with amendments • 33%
Fail • 34%
Fails again • 25%
Passes with two-thirds majority • 25%
Passes with simple majority • 25%
No vote held • 25%
Fail • 25%
Amended and Passed • 25%
Pass • 25%
Not Considered • 25%
Not voted • 34%
Passed • 33%
Failed • 33%
Fail • 33%
Pass with two-thirds majority • 33%
Pass with simple majority • 33%