Market
Outcome of Takeshi Ebisawa's appeal by end of 2026?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Conviction upheld • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
No appeal filed • 25%
Official court records from the New York federal court or appellate court
Story
Yakuza Leader Takeshi Ebisawa Pleads Guilty to Trafficking Weapons-Grade Plutonium from Myanmar, Faces 20 Years
Jan 9, 2025, 12:20 AM
Takeshi Ebisawa, a leader of the Japanese yakuza crime syndicate, has pleaded guilty in a New York federal court to conspiring to traffic nuclear materials from Myanmar to other countries, including uranium and weapons-grade plutonium. Ebisawa also admitted to working with associates from Thailand, Sri Lanka, and the United States to traffic drugs and weapons. The nuclear materials were intended to fund an illicit arms deal, which included the purchase of military weaponry such as surface-to-air missiles for use in Myanmar. Ebisawa faces up to 20 years in prison for the nuclear materials trafficking charges.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
Life imprisonment • 25%
20-30 years imprisonment • 25%
Less than 20 years imprisonment • 25%
10 to 20 years • 25%
More than 30 years • 25%
Less than 10 years • 25%
21 to 30 years • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
21-30 years • 25%
Life imprisonment • 25%
10-15 years • 25%
16-20 years • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New charges against Ebisawa • 25%
New charges against accomplices • 25%
Both Ebisawa and accomplices • 25%
No new charges • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Other • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
New trial granted • 25%
Sentence upheld • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%
New trial ordered • 25%