Outcome of SEC's Appeal Against Ripple by End of 2025
Reversal of ruling • 25%
Ruling upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
The outcome will be determined by the final decision of the appellate court, which will be publicly available through court records.
SEC Appeals Ripple Ruling, Seeks to Classify XRP as Security as Gensler Exits
Jan 16, 2025, 12:46 AM
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has formally filed its opening brief in its appeal against Ripple Labs, seeking to overturn the district court's mid-October ruling that XRP is not a security when sold to retail investors. The SEC argues that the court erred in its interpretation and that transactions involving XRP purchased through crypto asset trading platforms meet the definition of an 'investment contract' under the Howey test. Ripple's Chief Legal Officer, Stuart Alderoty, disclosed the filing and called the appeal 'noise,' suggesting that the lawsuit may be abandoned by the next administration, as SEC Chair Gary Gensler is set to leave office on January 20 under the Trump administration.
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Ripple wins - XRP not classified as security • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
SEC wins - XRP classified as security • 25%
Complete victory for Ripple • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Partial victory for Ripple • 25%
Complete victory for SEC • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Other • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Dismissal • 25%
Adopt new guidelines • 25%
Settle with affected companies • 25%
No response • 25%
Appeal rulings • 25%
Minor Misconduct Found • 25%
Significant Misconduct Found • 25%
No Misconduct Found • 25%
Severe Misconduct Found • 25%
In favor of Coinbase • 25%
In favor of SEC • 25%
Settled before ruling • 25%
Dismissed • 25%
Shift to rulemaking • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased collaboration with crypto companies • 25%
Continued regulation-by-enforcement • 25%
New appointee • 25%
Other • 25%
Gary Gensler • 25%
Acting Chair • 25%