Market
Outcome of SEC lawsuit against Elon Musk by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Settlement reached • 25%
Court rules in favor of SEC • 25%
Court rules in favor of Musk • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Official announcements from the SEC, court documents, credible news outlets
Story
SEC Sues Elon Musk for Securities Fraud Over Delayed Twitter Stock Disclosure
Jan 14, 2025, 11:43 PM
The US Securities and Exchange Commission has sued Elon Musk, alleging that he committed securities fraud by failing to disclose his acquisition of more than 5% of Twitter's shares within the required timeframe in March 2022. The SEC claims that Musk delayed his disclosure by 11 days, allowing him to purchase shares at artificially low prices ahead of his $44 billion takeover of the social media platform. The lawsuit was filed in federal court in Washington.
View original story
Similar markets
Musk found guilty • 25%
Settled • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Musk found not guilty • 25%
Resolved out of court • 25%
Dismissed • 25%
Resolved in court • 25%
Ongoing • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Musk found not guilty • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Musk found guilty • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Dismissal • 25%
Court Ruling • 25%
Other • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ongoing into 2026 • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Found guilty • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Formal charges filed • 25%
Settlement with monetary penalty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Charges filed • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Fines imposed • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Other penalties imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%