Market
Outcome of Next South Korean Parliamentary Vote on Martial Law by June 30, 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Approved • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No Vote Held • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Reports from South Korean parliamentary sessions or official records
Story
South Korea's President Yoon Declares and Quickly Rescinds Martial Law Amid Political Crisis
Dec 4, 2024, 04:40 AM
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol declared martial law on December 3, 2024, in an attempt to resolve a political stalemate. This move backfired spectacularly and was quickly rescinded after the South Korean parliament voted to reject it. The declaration, the first of its kind in over four decades, alarmed the United States and raised concerns about the future of President Yoon, who is deeply unpopular. The opposition has called for his resignation, citing fears that his actions might provoke conflict with North Korea. Analysts speculate on potential successors if Yoon is forced out or quits, highlighting three leading figures as possible replacements.
View original story
Similar markets
Government overthrown • 25%
Martial law continues • 25%
Martial law lifted • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Martial law lifted • 25%
Martial law extended • 25%
Government transition • 25%
Ongoing unrest • 25%
Martial law escalates to civil unrest • 25%
Other • 25%
Martial law lifted peacefully • 25%
Martial law leads to political resolution • 25%
Martial law officially lifted • 25%
Further measures announced • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Protests • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Political negotiations • 25%
Government stability • 25%