Market
Outcome of next congressional vote on Afghanistan withdrawal by December 31, 2025?
2
Antony Blinken•Republican•House Foreign Affairs Committee•Afghanistan•State Department•Biden•Michael McCaul•Blinken•Afghan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Pass new legislation • 25%
Issue a formal censure • 25%
Call for further investigation • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Official congressional records or credible news reporting
Story
Blinken Faces GOP-Led House Panel Over Chaotic Afghanistan Withdrawal
Dec 11, 2024, 03:41 PM
Secretary of State Antony Blinken appeared before the Republican-led House Foreign Affairs Committee on Wednesday to address the chaotic U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in August 2021. This testimony comes after months of tension between the State Department and the panel, which has been critical of the Biden administration's handling of the exit. The hearing, titled 'An Assessment of the State Department’s Withdrawal from Afghanistan by America’s Top Diplomat,' was marked by several interruptions from protesters. Michael McCaul, the committee's chairman, accused Blinken of ignoring security risks and described the withdrawal as the beginning of a failed foreign policy that has had global repercussions. Blinken acknowledged that even the most pessimistic U.S. government assessment did not foresee the rapid fall of the Afghan government.
View original story
Similar markets
Formal censure • 25%
Policy recommendations • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No action taken • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other significant measure • 25%
Initiation of investigation • 25%
Formal censure of Blinken • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Majority oppose • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal censure issued • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Recommendations for policy changes • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Policy changes recommended • 25%
Reprimand issued • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Passes with pay raise • 25%
Other amendments • 25%
Passes without pay raise • 25%
Fails • 25%
Pass without transgender care ban • 25%
Pass with transgender care ban • 25%
Fail • 25%
Other • 25%
Passed with majority • 33%
Postponed • 34%
Failed • 33%
Pass with current provisions • 25%
Pass with amendments • 25%
Fail • 25%
Other • 25%
Passed with bipartisan support • 25%
Failed to pass • 25%
Passed with Democratic majority only • 25%
Passed with Republican majority only • 25%
Passes without Pay Raise • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Fails • 25%
Passes with Pay Raise • 25%